CfS Research Day: Managing Uncertainty in Seabird Movement Modelling

The natural world is inherently complex and ecologists often face uncertainty in data and models which makes inference and decision making more challenging. The need to make decisions about the management of ecological systems in a way that is defensible and precautionary provides a strong motivation for quantifying uncertainty. The purpose of this event is to bring together statisticians and researchers to understand the role of uncertainty in seabird research and to introduce methods for quantifying and accounting for uncertainty in movement modelling. The day will include presentations with both statistical and application-based focuses which will introduce the data-driven challenges faced by researchers and practitioners in seabird movement ecology and encourage discussion around areas of common interest for potential joint projects and grant proposals.

Day One: Data and Questions

• Francis Daunt (UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology)
• Julie Black (Joint Nature Conservation Committee)
• Jesper Kyed Larsen (Vattenfall)

Day Two: Models and Answers

• Ruth King (University of Edinburgh)
• Esther Jones and Adam Butler (BioSS)